Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 79.39%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 6.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.46%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
79.39% ( 0.04)	13.7% ( -0)	6.91% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

-0.17)

37.11% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

-0.18)

59.31% (

0.18)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.58% (

-0.03)

7.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.28% (

-0.08)

26.71% (

0.08)

Sportivo Trinidense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.32% (

-0.23)

52.67% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.56% (

-0.15)

86.44% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 79.37%

Sportivo Trinidense 6.91%

Draw 13.7%

Fortaleza	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
2-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.88% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 79.37%	1-1 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.7%	0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 6.91%