Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Fortaleza
5 - 0
Nacional

Hercules (13'), Martin Lucero (16', 29'), Pikachu (48'), Machuca (58')
Hercules (33'), Rocha (72')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fortaleza and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Nacional Potosi

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, April 4 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 73.19%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 10.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Nacional Potosi win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawNacional Potosi
73.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.42% (-0.026 -0.03)10.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)37.96% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (0.055 0.05)60.22% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.02% (0.027000000000001 0.03)8.98% (-0.0251 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.37% (0.061999999999998 0.06)30.62% (-0.061 -0.06)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)45.33% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)81.2% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 73.19%
    Nacional Potosi 10.38%
    Draw 16.42%
FortalezaDrawNacional Potosi
2-0 @ 11.82%
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 73.19%
1-1 @ 7.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.42%
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 10.38%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Nacional

Fortaleza
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Nacional Potosi
0.0%
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