Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles

Universitario de Vinto
0 - 2
Nacional

FT(HT: 0-1)
Callejo (6'), Cristaldo (87' pen.)
Andia (41'), Biaggio (42'), Anez (50'), Hoyos (64')
Biaggio (66'), Hoyos (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario de Vinto

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Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: El Nacional 3-1 Nacional
Thursday, February 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
51.53% (0.193 0.19)24.08% (-0.167 -0.17)24.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.1% (0.506 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.59% (0.682 0.68)47.4% (-0.681 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.38% (0.628 0.63)69.62% (-0.627 -0.63)
Universitario de Vinto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (0.33799999999999 0.34)18.39% (-0.336 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (0.567 0.57)49.53% (-0.565 -0.57)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (0.34700000000001 0.35)33.7% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (0.377 0.38)70.36% (-0.376 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Universitario de Vinto 51.53%
    Nacional Potosi 24.39%
    Draw 24.07%
Universitario de VintoDrawNacional Potosi
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.055 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.39%