Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.