Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Guabira in this match.