Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guabira win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guabira win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guabira would win this match.