Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.