Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.