Santos
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Fortaleza

Santos
1 - 2
Fortaleza

Messias (58', 58')
Dodo (3'), Dodo (3'), Inocencio (52'), Inocencio (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marinho (39', 39'), Martin Lucero (90+6', 90+6')
Pochettino (26'), Pochettino (26'), Welison (35'), Welison (35'), Pikachu (40'), Pikachu (40')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 3-0 Santos
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Fortaleza

All competitions
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-0 Goias
Sunday, December 3 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 45.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
SantosDrawFortaleza
45.92% (0.61 0.61)27.12% (0.067 0.07)26.97% (-0.675 -0.68)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.64 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56% (-0.6 -0.6)57.44% (0.59999999999999 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76% (-0.479 -0.48)78.24% (0.479 0.48)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)24.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (-0.881 -0.88)36.97% (0.88200000000001 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (-0.887 -0.89)73.76% (0.89 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Santos 45.92%
    Fortaleza 26.97%
    Draw 27.11%
SantosDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.31 0.31)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.97%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 19
Fortaleza
4-0
Santos
Machuca (58'), Basso (80' og.), Alexandre (83'), Pacheco (90+1')
Machuca (18'), Titi (41')

Fernandez (38')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 38
Santos
0-2
Fortaleza
Galhardo (67'), Moises (85')
Jul 24, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 19
Fortaleza
0-0
Santos
Marcelo (45+2'), Capixaba (81'), Galhardo (83'), Crispim (90+1')
Leonardo (38'), Fernandez (55'), Gabriel (58'), Eduardo (83')
> Preview
Nov 25, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 35
Santos
2-0
Fortaleza
Leonardo (71' pen., 90')
Zanocelo (39'), Leonardo (72'), Guilherme (79')

Pikachu (21'), Marcelo (38')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 16
Fortaleza
1-1
Santos
Crispim (23')
Robson (36'), Pikachu (65')
Sanchez (25')
Paulo (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!