Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte

Nacional
0 - 0
Boca Juniors


Andia (25'), Andia (25'), Prost (44'), Prost (44'), Mancilla (45+3'), Mancilla (45+3'), Ortiz (47'), Ortiz (47')
FT

Saralegui (18'), Saralegui (18'), Martinez (19'), Anselmino (70'), Anselmino (70'), Brey (84'), Brey (84'), Saracchi (86'), Saracchi (86'), Ariel Molas (90+4'), W. A. (90+4'), Molas (90+4'), W. A. (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: Universitario de Vinto 0-2 Nacional
Wednesday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawBoca Juniors
47.78% (-1.779 -1.78)24.18% (0.593 0.59)28.04% (1.182 1.18)
Both teams to score 57.11% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.01% (-1.827 -1.83)44.99% (1.823 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (-1.779 -1.78)67.34% (1.775 1.78)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (-1.406 -1.41)18.94% (1.401 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (-2.387 -2.39)50.46% (2.382 2.38)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.46% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.54% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.43% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)65.56% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 47.78%
    Boca Juniors 28.04%
    Draw 24.18%
Nacional PotosiDrawBoca Juniors
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.248 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.427 0.43)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.205 0.21)
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.508 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.301 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.04%