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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 3, 2024 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
3 - 2
Belgrano

Cavani (63' pen., 73', 79')
Campuzano (42'), Langoni (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Passerini (21'), Marin (90')
Moreno (45+1'), Longo (61')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Belgrano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 2-2 Talleres
Saturday, February 24 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawBelgrano
55.37% (1.401 1.4) 26.74% (-0.731 -0.73) 17.89% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 38.56% (0.67 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.53% (1.444 1.44)63.47% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.2% (1.025 1.03)82.8% (-1.026 -1.03)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (1.258 1.26)23.29% (-1.259 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (1.799 1.8)57.24% (-1.798 -1.8)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.27% (0.049999999999997 0.05)49.73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.53% (0.035 0.04)84.47% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 55.36%
    Belgrano 17.89%
    Draw 26.73%
Boca JuniorsDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 16.87% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-0 @ 12.29% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.235 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.46% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 55.36%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 11.58% (-0.64 -0.64)
2-2 @ 3% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.433 -0.43)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.89%

Head to Head
Oct 11, 2023 12am
Gameweek 8
Belgrano
4-3
Boca Juniors
Passerini (3', 38'), Barinaga (34'), Rolon (45+1')
Passerini (3'), Losada (72')
Benedetto (19'), Merentiel (29', 57')
Merentiel (44'), Valentini (71'), Rojo (90+3')
May 14, 2023 11pm
Feb 11, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 18
Belgrano
1-1
Boca Juniors
Lertora (81')
Quiroga (29'), Patino (63')
Patino (94')
Lopez (16')
Buffarini (38'), Alonso (58'), Izquierdoz (83'), Marcone (84')
rhs 2.0
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