Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 44.57%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.05%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.