Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 4, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Fortaleza

Sportivo Trinidense
0 - 2
Fortaleza


Benitez (35'), Benitez (35'), Adrian Mendoza Espinola (45+2'), Mendoza (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Galhardo (4', 4'), Pikachu (90+2', 90+2')
Britez (13'), Britez (13'), Escobar (36'), Escobar (36')
Escobar (82'), Escobar (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Santos 1-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 69.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 11.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.6%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawFortaleza
11.15% (-0.025 -0.03)19.4% (0.011000000000003 0.01)69.45% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.112 -0.11)49.22% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.102 -0.1)71.28% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.79% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)51.21% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.52% (-0.08 -0.08)85.48% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)13.05% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)39.62% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 11.15%
    Fortaleza 69.44%
    Draw 19.4%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 11.15%
1-1 @ 9.11%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.4%
0-2 @ 13.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 13.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 9.41% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.79%
1-4 @ 3.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 69.44%