Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Monumental David Arellano

Colo-Colo
2 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense

Gil (4', 4'), Palacios (31' pen., 31' pen.)
Amor (77'), Amor (77'), Palacios (90+7'), Palacios (90+7')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Ivan Flores Melgarejo (33'), Flores (33')
Samudio (30'), Samudio (30'), Gimenez (77'), Gimenez (77'), Antonio Riveros Krayacich (90+8'), Riveros (90+8')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Colo-Colo and Sportivo Trinidense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colo-Colo

Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Sportivo Trinidense

Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Colo-Colo
Thursday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Colo-Colo	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
58.24% ( -0.19)	22.62% ( 0.04)	19.14% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

0.03)

47.31% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

0.03)

69.53% (

-0.03)

Colo-Colo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06% (

-0.05)

15.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.79% (

-0.09)

45.21% (

0.09)

Sportivo Trinidense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.26% (

0.17)

38.74% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.53% (

0.16)

75.48% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Colo-Colo 58.23%

Sportivo Trinidense 19.14%

Draw 22.62%

Colo-Colo	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense
1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 58.23%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.62%	0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.14%