Copa Libertadores
Feb 22, 2024 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Juan Vera 4' yellowcard
  • Luis de la Cruz 11' yellowcard
  • Fernando Romero 35' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Peralta 40'
  • yellowcard Byron Palacios 61'
  • yellowcard Tomson Minda 69'
  • goal Tomson Minda 74'

Sportivo Trinidense vs El Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

El Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sportivo Trinidense win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result

Sportivo Trinidense 30.63% (+1.00)
Draw 24.46% (+0.37)
El Nacional 44.91% (-1.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.85% (-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.23% (-1.15)
Under 2.5 44.77% (+1.14)
Over 3.5 32.87% (-1.11)
Under 3.5 67.13% (+1.11)
Over 4.5 16.7% (-0.81)
Under 4.5 83.3% (+0.81)

Sportivo Trinidense Goals

Over 0.5 72.36% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 27.64% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 36.82% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 63.18% (-0.13)

El Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 79.94% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 20.05% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 47.72% (-1.69)
Under 1.5 52.27% (+1.69)

Score analysis

Sportivo Trinidense 30.63%
Draw 24.46%
El Nacional 44.91%
Sportivo Trinidense
2-1 @ 7.36% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 7.13% (+0.37)
2-0 @ 4.58% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 3.16% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.96% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-97.69)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.45% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.46%
El Nacional
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.12)
0-1 @ 8.91% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.23)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.14)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.13)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.91%