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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo Trinidense
1 - 1
El Nacional

Romero (35')
Vera (4'), de la Cruz (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Minda (74')
Peralta (40'), Palacios (61'), Minda (69')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Sportivo Trinidense and El Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

El Nacional

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Last Game: Medellin 2-1 El Nacional
Thursday, March 2 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Sportivo Trinidense win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawEl Nacional
30.63% (0.994 0.99)24.46% (0.363 0.36)44.91% (-1.359 -1.36)
Both teams to score 57.85% (-0.67 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-1.141 -1.14)44.77% (1.138 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-1.11 -1.11)67.13% (1.106 1.11)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36% (0.092999999999989 0.09)27.64% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82% (0.122 0.12)63.18% (-0.126 -0.13)
El Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-1.033 -1.03)20.05% (1.029 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-1.687 -1.69)52.27% (1.683 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 30.63%
    El Nacional 44.91%
    Draw 24.46%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawEl Nacional
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.163 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.361 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.245 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.63%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.267 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 44.91%