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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Sportivo Trinidense
1 - 1
Colo-Colo

Salcedo (36', 36')
de la Cruz (73'), de la Cruz (73'), David Villalba Jacquet (84'), David Villalba Jacquet (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zavala (60', 60')
Palacios (2'), Palacios (2'), Falcon (43'), Falcon (43'), Opazo (50'), Opazo (50'), Amor (90+4'), Amor (90+4')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Colo-Colo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

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Last Game: El Nacional 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Colo-Colo

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-0 Godoy Cruz
Friday, March 1 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawColo-Colo
24.31% (0.12 0.12)24.8% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)50.88% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Both teams to score 51.75% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.135 0.13)50.48% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.119 0.12)72.4% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.18000000000001 0.18)35.44% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.188 0.19)72.21% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.84% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)51.93% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 24.31%
    Colo-Colo 50.88%
    Draw 24.8%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.12% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 24.31%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 50.88%