Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.