Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.97%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.