Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo Trinidense
2 - 0
Nacional

Romero (15', 15'), Salcedo (62', 62')
Alonso (46'), Alonso (46'), Rayer (52'), Rayer (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Azogue (82'), Azogue (82')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Trinidense and Nacional Potosi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Trinidense

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Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Sportivo Trinidense
Wednesday, April 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: Fortaleza 5-0 Nacional
Wednesday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Trinidense win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Trinidense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sportivo Trinidense would win this match.

Result
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawNacional Potosi
38.25% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)26.71% (0.035 0.04)35.04% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.77% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.122 -0.12)53.25% (0.123 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.103 -0.1)74.81% (0.104 0.1)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.17 -0.17)27.09% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.224 -0.22)62.46% (0.224 0.22)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.045000000000002 0.05)28.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.055 0.05)64.89% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Trinidense 38.24%
    Nacional Potosi 35.04%
    Draw 26.71%
Sportivo TrinidenseDrawNacional Potosi
1-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 35.04%