Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 15, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Victor Agustin Ugarte

Nacional
2 - 1
Sportivo Trinidense

Galindo (68', 68'), Alvarez (90+2', 90+2')
Junior Baldomar Roca (31'), Baldomar (31'), Galindo (81'), Galindo (81'), Hoyos (90+7'), Hoyos (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gustavo Pereira Guillen (29'), Pereira (29')
Rolando Canete Ortiz (44'), Canete (44'), Marcelo Arce Meaurio (90+1'), Arce (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Nacional Potosi and Sportivo Trinidense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional Potosi

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Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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Sportivo Trinidense

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Last Game: Sportivo Trinidense 1-2 Boca Juniors
Thursday, May 9 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional Potosi win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sportivo Trinidense had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional Potosi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Sportivo Trinidense win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nacional Potosi in this match.

Result
Nacional PotosiDrawSportivo Trinidense
67.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.75% (0.0019999999999989 0)14.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 57.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.13% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)33.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.72% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Nacional Potosi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.87% (0.0020000000000095 0)9.13% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)30.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Sportivo Trinidense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.63%36.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)73.16% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Nacional Potosi 67.96%
    Sportivo Trinidense 14.29%
    Draw 17.75%
Nacional PotosiDrawSportivo Trinidense
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.68%
3-0 @ 7.59%
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.54%
3-2 @ 3.88%
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 2.18%
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 67.96%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.87%
0-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.75%
1-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 3.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.29%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Sportivo Trinidense
2-0
Nacional
Romero (15'), Salcedo (62')
Alonso (46'), Rayer (52')

Azogue (82')