Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 16, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Alberto Jose Armando

Boca Juniors
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Cavani (55', 55')
Advincula (5'), Advincula (5'), Cavani (29'), Cavani (29'), Martinez (35'), Martinez (35'), Fernandez (70'), Fernandez (70'), Merentiel (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrade (90', 90')
Kuscevic (39'), Kuscevic (39'), Titi (45'), Titi (45'), Merentiel (74'), Merentiel (75'), Augusto (75'), Augusto (75')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Boca Juniors and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 13 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortaleza

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Botafogo
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Fortaleza
55.08% ( -0.37)	24.77% ( 0.12)	20.15% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 46.7% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47% (

-0.16)

54.52% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12% (

-0.14)

75.88% (

0.13)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.21)

19.74% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

-0.33)

51.77% (

0.33)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

0.17)

41.81% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

0.15)

78.27% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 55.07%

Fortaleza 20.15%

Draw 24.76%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 13.39% 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.07%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.13% Total : 20.15%