Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.