Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
2 - 1
Vitoria

Maicon (51'), Vegetti (56')
Maicon (28'), Galdames (57'), Praxedes (84'), David (90+3'), Praxedes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castilho (89')
Sforza (57'), Castilho (59'), David (66')
Camutanga (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 1-3 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawVitoria
57.87% (-0.164 -0.16)23.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)19.03% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.86% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07)49.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.059999999999999 0.06)71.45% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)16.8% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (-0.058 -0.06)46.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.92% (0.19 0.19)40.07% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.28% (0.173 0.17)76.72% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 57.86%
    Vitoria 19.03%
    Draw 23.09%
Vasco da GamaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.03%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 24
Vitoria
1-0
Vasco
Erick (73')
Ramon (23'), Erick (59'), Gomes (67'), Fernandes (79')
Riberio (75')

Desabato (40')
Pikachu (75')
May 13, 2018 8pm
Vasco
2-3
Vitoria
Pikachu (40' pen.), Rios (83')
Breno (35'), Henrique (86')
Lima (18'), Fernandes (71'), Werley (76' og.)
Walisson (34'), Farias (44'), Soutto (55')
Jul 13, 2017 1.45am
Vitoria
1-4
Vasco