Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Sao Paulo

Vitoria
1 - 3
Sao Paulo

Oliveira (49')
Uvini (25'), Esteves (60'), Dudu (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luciano (45', 53'), Ferraresi (84')
Bobadilla (14'), Franco (36'), Galoppo (36'), Galoppo (45'), Araujo (82')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-1 Vitoria
Sunday, April 28 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras
Tuesday, April 30 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 22.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Vitoria win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
22.11% (-2.581 -2.58)25.44% (-1.194 -1.19)52.45% (3.773 3.77)
Both teams to score 47.43% (0.608 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (2.193 2.19)54.93% (-2.195 -2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.79% (1.782 1.78)76.21% (-1.783 -1.78)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (-1.219 -1.22)39.99% (1.217 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36% (-1.135 -1.14)76.64% (1.133 1.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (2.564 2.56)20.96% (-2.565 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (3.856 3.86)53.72% (-3.858 -3.86)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 22.11%
    Sao Paulo 52.44%
    Draw 25.43%
VitoriaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 7.68% (-0.96 -0.96)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.424 -0.42)
2-0 @ 3.52% (-0.574 -0.57)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.31% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-0 @ 8.38% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 13.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 10.23% (0.68 0.68)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.33 0.33)
0-3 @ 5.33% (0.723 0.72)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.52 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.171 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.415 0.42)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.329 0.33)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 52.44%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2018 11.30pm
Gameweek 31
Vitoria
0-1
Sao Paulo

Riberio (41')
Alves (37')
Hudson (32'), Carneiro (45')
Jean (95')
Jun 13, 2018 1.30am
Gameweek 12
Sao Paulo
3-0
Vitoria
Nene (21', 42'), Everton (54')
Nene (36'), Fernandes (45'), Jucilei (61'), Hudson (66')
Fernandes (77')

Bruno (15'), Neilton (35'), Rhayner (36')
Yago (35')