Copa Libertadores
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William Vargas
45'+1'
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William Vargas
45'+1'
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Luis Zubeldia
16'
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Luis Zubeldia
16'
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Jonathan Calleri
17'
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Jonathan Calleri
17'
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Alisson
64'
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Alisson
64'
Barcelona SC vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Barcelona SC
31.91%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
27.64%
▲
(+0.06)
Sao Paulo
40.45%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
48.25%
▼
(-0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.59%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
57.41%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
21.78%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 3.5
78.22%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
9.38%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
90.62%
▲
(+0.10)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5
66.84%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
33.16%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
30.24%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
69.76%
▲
(+0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5
72.18%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
27.82%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
36.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
63.41%
▲
(+0.17)
Score analysis
Barcelona SC
31.91%
Draw
27.63%
Sao Paulo
40.45%
Barcelona SC
1-0
@
10.18%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.91%
2-1 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.91%
Draw
1-1
@
13.02%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.63%
0-0 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.63%
Sao Paulo
0-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.45%
1-2 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.45%