Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Jun 30, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
2 - 2
Cerro Porteno

Corozo (57', 57'), Bauman (87' pen., 87' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-4)

Bobadilla (2', 2'), Aquino (43' pen., 43' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Barcelona SC and Cerro Porteno, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-2 Barcelona
Thursday, June 8 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno

Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona SC	Draw	Cerro Porteno
39.92% ( 0.07)	27.05% ( -0.11)	33.04% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.1% (

0.43)

54.89% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.82% (

0.35)

76.18% (

-0.35)

Barcelona SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

0.24)

26.93% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

0.31)

62.26% (

-0.31)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9% (

0.25)

31.1% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.58% (

0.28)

67.42% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Barcelona SC 39.91%

Cerro Porteno 33.04%

Draw 27.04%

Barcelona SC	Draw	Cerro Porteno
1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.91%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.04%