Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Manoel Barradas
Bahia

Vitoria
2 - 2
Bahia

Matheuzinho (20'), Leonardo (57')
Naldi (23'), Matheuzinho (42'), Zeca (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Teixeira (69'), Stum (72')
Arias (48'), Cuesta (51'), de Pena (90+3')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vitoria and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Fluminense
Wednesday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
VitoriaDrawBahia
41.81% (-0.289 -0.29)25.63% (0.098000000000003 0.1)32.56% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.255 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.35700000000001 -0.36)49.2% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.325 -0.32)71.26% (0.32599999999999 0.33)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)23.36% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.436 -0.44)57.33% (0.438 0.44)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)28.58% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.067 -0.07)64.37% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria 41.81%
    Bahia 32.56%
    Draw 25.62%
VitoriaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.111 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.62% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.56%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Ceara (8', 68')
Ceara (2'), Bruno (73'), Benitez (76')
Nilton (39'), Ramires (72')
Gregore (17'), Brumado (67'), Nilton (84'), Grolli (96')
Jul 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
4-1
Vitoria
Rafael (16'), Vinicius (27'), Tiago (66'), Gilberto (67')
Rafael (2'), Fonseca (70'), Tiago (91')
Lucas (73')
Jeferson (2'), Bou (15'), Arouca (47'), Bryan (65'), Luan (74')
Bryan (75')
Jul 2, 2017 8pm
Vitoria
0-0
Bahia
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


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