Brasileiro | Gameweek 5

May 5, 2024 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 2
Bahia

Jeffinho (63')
Bastos (81'), Barboza (90+5'), Barboza (91+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stum (45+3' pen.), Ratao (86')
Kanu (36'), Rezende (76')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Flamengo 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bahia

All competitions

Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 28 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Bahia
54.66% ( -0.05)	24.07% ( -0.01)	21.27% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.43% (

0.1)

50.57% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51% (

0.09)

72.49% (

-0.09)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6% (

0.02)

18.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.46% (

0.03)

49.54% (

-0.03)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.63% (

0.12)

38.37% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.88% (

0.12)

75.12% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 54.64%

Bahia 21.27%

Draw 24.07%

Botafogo	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.64%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.07%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 21.27%