Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 11, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
1 - 0
Botafogo

Alzugaray (4')
Rodriguez (45+4'), Villamil (67'), Julio (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Botafogo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LDU Quito in this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Botafogo
40.2% ( -0.09)	26.99% ( 0.02)	32.81% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.29% (

-0.07)

54.71% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.97% (

-0.06)

76.03% (

0.06)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31% (

-0.09)

26.68% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.06% (

-0.11)

61.94% (

0.12)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85% (

0.01)

31.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.51% (

0.01)

67.49% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 40.2%

Botafogo 32.81%

Draw 26.98%

LDU Quito	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.2%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.81%