Copa Libertadores
Apr 11, 2024 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Lisandro Alzugaray 4' goal
  • Facundo Rodriguez 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Villamil 67' yellowcard
  • Jhojan Julio 84' yellowcard

LDU Quito vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 3, 2024 3.00am
Universitario 2 - 1 LDU Quito

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 3, 2024 11.00pm
Botafogo 1 - 3 Junior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for LDU Quito in this match.

Result

LDU Quito 40.2% (-0.10)
Draw 26.99% (+0.03)
Botafogo 32.81% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.47% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.29% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 54.71% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 23.97% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 76.03% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 10.71% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.29% (+0.04)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 26.68% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 38.06% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 61.94% (+0.12)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 68.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.15% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.51% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.49% (-0.02)

Score analysis

LDU Quito 40.2%
Draw 26.98%
Botafogo 32.81%
LDU Quito
1-0 @ 10.98% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.25% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.31% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.98%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 9.7% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.81%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Jun 7, 2023 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Copa Sudamericana
May 5, 2023 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT