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Copa Libertadores

Universitario
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental

Universitario
2 - 1
LDU Quito

Rivera (50', 50', 70', 70')
Antonio Saravia Antinori (13'), Saravia (13'), Portocarrero (66'), Portocarrero (66'), Cabanillas (83'), Cabanillas (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Quinonez (29', 29')
Angulo (20'), Angulo (20'), Gonzalez (86'), Gonzalez (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universitario

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Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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LDU Quito

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Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 LDU Quito
Friday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 18.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.

Result
UniversitarioDrawLDU Quito
57.3% (-0.518 -0.52)24.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)18.08% (0.468 0.47)
Both teams to score 43.98% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.58% (0.418 0.42)56.42% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.57% (0.336 0.34)77.43% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.39% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)19.61% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.44% (-0.064 -0.06)51.56% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.71% (0.821 0.82)45.29% (-0.82100000000001 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.83% (0.643 0.64)81.16% (-0.643 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 57.3%
    LDU Quito 18.08%
    Draw 24.61%
UniversitarioDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 14.47% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.78% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.88% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.7% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.79% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 0.98% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 18.08%