MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 07:25:24| >> :60:1438:1438:
CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Fluminense

LDU Quito
1 - 0
Fluminense

Arce (90+2')
Piovi (47'), Gabbarini (79'), Arce (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diniz (17'), Martinelli (43'), Guga (74')
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between LDU Quito and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Man City 4-0 Fluminense
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawFluminense
34.09% (-8.013 -8.01) 25.91% (0.36 0.36) 40% (7.656 7.66)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.688 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (-1.111 -1.11)50.04% (1.114 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-1 -1)72.02% (1 1)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-4.918 -4.92)28.02% (4.919 4.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-6.715 -6.72)63.67% (6.717 6.72)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (3.924 3.92)24.66% (-3.922 -3.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (5.196 5.2)59.18% (-5.194 -5.19)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 34.09%
    Fluminense 40%
    Draw 25.91%
LDU QuitoDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.884 -0.88)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-1.049 -1.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-1.496 -1.5)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-1.015 -1.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-1.09 -1.09)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.391 -0.39)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.09%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 9.67% (1.404 1.4)
1-2 @ 8.62% (1.027 1.03)
0-2 @ 6.77% (1.593 1.59)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.853 0.85)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.999 1)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.236 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.415 0.42)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.429 0.43)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40%

rhs 2.0
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1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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