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Julian Alvarez
1'
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Nino
27'
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Phil Foden
72'
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Julian Alvarez
88'
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Marcelo
57'
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Alexsander
68'
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John Kennedy
84'
Manchester City vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 10.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Fluminense Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.13%
3-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 8.01%
1-0 @ 7.63%
4-0 @ 5.79%
4-1 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 3.64%
5-0 @ 3.05%
5-1 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 2.39%
6-0 @ 1.34%
5-2 @ 1.26%
6-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 74.1%
2-2 @ 4.15%
0-0 @ 2.9%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 15.28%
0-1 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 10.62%