Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 10, 2023 at 2pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 2
Man City

Adebayo (45+2')
Nakamba (58'), Doughty (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (62'), Grealish (65')
Rodri (73')

Reaction

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Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola suggests that Erling Haaland will be missing for at least the team's next two matches with a foot injury.

Dec 10, 17:08

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 3-4 Arsenal
Tuesday, December 5 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City
Wednesday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Luton Town win it was 2-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Manchester City
13.34% ( 0.01)	17.95% ( 0.01)	68.71% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83% (

-0.03)

37.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63% (

-0.02)

59.36% (

0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.14% (

0.01)

39.86% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48% (

76.52% (

-0.01)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.17% (

-0.02)

9.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.37% (

-0.03)

32.63% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 13.34%

Manchester City 68.71%

Draw 17.95%

Luton Town	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.34%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.95%	0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.35% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% 0-5 @ 2.19% ( -0) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2% ( -0) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 68.71%