Premier League
Gameweek
10
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fastlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
-
John McGinn
17'
-
Nicolo Zaniolo
28'
-
Moussa Diaby
49'
-
Matty Cash
51'
-
Tom Lockyer
62'
-
Boubacar Kamara
71'
-
Issa Kabore
53'
-
Alfie Doughty
75'
-
Emiliano Martinez
83'
(OG)
Aston Villa vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fvillut.JPG)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Follie-watkins.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result
Aston Villa
55.11%
▲
(+1.75)
Draw
23.23%
▲
(+0.23)
Luton Town
21.66%
▼
(-1.97)
Both Teams to Score:
53.46%
▼
(-3.33)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.37%
▼
(-3.19)
Under 2.5
46.63%
▲
(+3.19)
Over 3.5
31.11%
▼
(-3.07)
Under 3.5
68.9%
▲
(+3.07)
Over 4.5
15.44%
▼
(-2.21)
Under 4.5
84.56%
▲
(+2.21)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
83.22%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 0.5
16.78%
▲
(+0.54)
Over 1.5
53.27%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 1.5
46.74%
▲
(+0.96)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
64.25%
▼
(-3.57)
Under 0.5
35.76%
▲
(+3.56)
Over 1.5
27.47%
▼
(-3.85)
Under 1.5
72.53%
▲
(+3.85)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
55.11%
Draw
23.22%
Luton Town
21.66%
Aston Villa
1-0
@
10.71%
▲
(+1.21)
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.93)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.46)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.36)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 55.11%
2-1 @ 9.83% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.93)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.46)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.36)
4-1 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 55.11%
Draw
1-1
@
11.01%
▲
(+0.25)
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.77)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.50)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.22%
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.77)
2-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.50)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.24)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.22%
Luton Town
0-1
@
6.17%
▲
(+0.25)
1-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.37)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.37)
0-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 21.66%
Head to Head
EFL Cup
-
Jake Gray
35'
-
Cameron McGeehan
53'
-
Jores Okore
66'
-
Olly Lee
80'
-
Danny Hylton
90'
-
Jordan Ayew
13'
-
Ross McCormack
17'
-
Jordan Ayew
43'
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
John Shaw
23'
-
Jake Howells
78'