Premier League Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • Douglas Luiz 30' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 52' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 74' goal
  • Leon Bailey 89' goal
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 54'
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 56'

Aston Villa vs West Ham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
Wolves 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

West Ham United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
West Ham 2 - 2 Newcastle
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Jarrod Bowen

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 54.83% (+0.56)
Draw 22.26% (+0.23)
West Ham United 22.91% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.43% (-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.16% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 40.84% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 36.77% (-2.00)
Under 3.5 63.23% (+2.01)
Over 4.5 19.6% (-1.56)
Under 4.5 80.39% (+1.56)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 85.16% (-0.49)
Under 0.5 14.84% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 56.84% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 43.15% (+0.94)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5 68.62% (-1.72)
Under 0.5 31.38% (+1.72)
Over 1.5 32.25% (-2.04)
Under 1.5 67.75% (+2.04)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 54.83%
Draw 22.25%
West Ham United 22.91%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.62)
2-0 @ 8.48% (+0.46)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 5.39% (+0.20)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.57% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 54.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.24)
0-0 @ 4.66% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.25%
West Ham United
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.91%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Said Benrahma 26' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 17'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matty Cash 57' yellowcard
  • Boubacar Kamara 79' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Fornals 74'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manuel Lanzini 44' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 70' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 82' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 90'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ollie Watkins 34' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 50' redcard
  • John McGinn 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ben Johnson 7'
  • goal Declan Rice 38'
  • yellowcard Pablo Fornals 79'
  • yellowcard Jarrod Bowen 79'
  • goal Pablo Fornals 80'
  • goal Jarrod Bowen 84'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Douglas Luiz 70' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 81' goal
  • goal Tomas Soucek 51'
  • goal Jesse Lingard 56'
  • yellowcard Aaron Cresswell 65'
  • goal Jesse Lingard 83'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Nov 30, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Angelo Ogbonna 2' goal
  • Jarrod Bowen 46' goal
  • Pablo Fornals 53' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Grealish 25'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 67'