Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Sep 17, 2023 2.00pm
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Cole Palmer

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 55.03% ▼ (-0.30)
Draw 22.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Aston Villa 22.4% ▲ (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.68% ▲ (+0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.16% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 2.5 42.84% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 3.5 34.76% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 3.5 65.24% ▼ (-0.64)
Over 4.5 18.08% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 4.5 81.91% ▼ (-0.47)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 84.53% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 15.47% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 55.66% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 1.5 44.33% ▼ (-0.24)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 67.05% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 0.5 32.94% ▼ (-0.68)
Over 1.5 30.47% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 69.52% ▼ (-0.75)

Score analysis

Chelsea 55.03%
Draw 22.55%
Aston Villa 22.4%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.86% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.24)
2-0 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.55%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.4%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Ollie Watkins 18'
  • goal John McGinn 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aston Villa
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • John McGinn 7' goal
Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Mason Mount 6'
  • goal Mason Mount 65'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Reece James 28' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 65' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 34'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 70'
  • goal Jorginho 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Malang Sarr 31' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 54' goal
  • Reece James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Archer 64'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 86'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Chelsea
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Romelu Lukaku 15' goal
  • Mateo Kovacic 49' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 61' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 8'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 28'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 90'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 90'

Form Data

Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Chelsea 3 - 0 Luton
West Ham 3 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Liverpool
Legia 3 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Liverpool 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Hibernian
Burnley 1 - 3 Aston Villa
Hibernian 0 - 5 Aston Villa

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