Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
3 - 0
Luton

Sterling (17', 68'), Jackson (75')
Fernandez (73'), Maatsen (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lockyer (27'), Nakamba (30'), Brown (78')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Chelsea
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Luton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Luton Town
50.28% ( 0.01)	25.28% ( -0)	24.44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.43% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.73% (

0.01)

52.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.03% (

0.01)

73.97% (

-0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19% (

0.01)

20.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.53% (

0.02)

53.46% (

-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.01)

36.31% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

-0.01)

73.1% (

Score Analysis

Chelsea 50.28%

Luton Town 24.44%

Draw 25.27%

Chelsea	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 50.28%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.44%