Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.