Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 2
Newcastle

Ayling (7'), Kristensen (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wilson (31' pen., 69' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Sam Allardyce's first home game in charge of Leeds United ends in a fiery 2-2 draw with Newcastle United in Saturday's early Premier League kickoff at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Newcastle United
20.85% ( 0.01)	21.95% ( 0)	57.19% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.51% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

0.01)

42.01% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

0.01)

64.41% (

-0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

0.02)

33.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4% (

0.02)

70.59% (

-0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0)

14.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54% (

-0)

42.45%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 20.85%

Newcastle United 57.19%

Draw 21.95%

Leeds United	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.31% 2-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.85%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.95%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.85% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.67% 1-5 @ 1.19% 0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 57.19%