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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
Newcastle logo

Leeds
2 - 2
Newcastle

Ayling (7'), Kristensen (79')
Firpo (59'), Gnonto (68'), Robles (69'), Bamford (90+2')
Firpo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (31' pen., 69' pen.)
Guimaraes (57'), Wilson (72')

The Match

Match Report

Sam Allardyce's first home game in charge of Leeds United ends in a fiery 2-2 draw with Newcastle United in Saturday's early Premier League kickoff at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
20.85% (0.012 0.01) 21.95% (0.0010000000000012 0) 57.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)42.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.92% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.59% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.45%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 20.85%
    Newcastle United 57.19%
    Draw 21.95%
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 57.19%

How you voted: Leeds vs Newcastle

Leeds United
15.7%
Draw
10.5%
Newcastle United
73.9%
153
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2022 3pm
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Leeds
0-1
Newcastle

James (57'), Dallas (67'), Llorente (74'), Rodrigo (84')
Shelvey (75')
Saint-Maximin (57'), Dummett (62')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
gameweek 5
Newcastle
1-1
Leeds
Saint-Maximin (44')
Ritchie (8'), Almiron (39')
Raphinha (13')
Rodrigo (57'), Firpo (80')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 20
Newcastle
1-2
Leeds
Almiron (57')
Schar (87')
Raphinha (17'), Harrison (61')
Alioski (54'), Rodrigo (87'), Harrison (90+1')
Dec 16, 2020 6pm
gameweek 13
Leeds
5-2
Newcastle
Bamford (35'), Rodrigo (61'), Dallas (77'), Alioski (85'), Harrison (88')
Klich (37'), Phillips (48'), Raphinha (67')
Hendrick (26'), Clark (65')
Hayden (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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