Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 0
FT
  • Jacob Murphy 2' goal
  • Joelinton 6' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 9' goal
  • Alexander Isak 19' goal
  • Alexander Isak 21' goal
  • Callum Wilson 67' goal
  • goal Harry Kane 49'

Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Aston Villa 3 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Spurs 2 - 3 Bournemouth
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Harry Kane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United 46.39% (-0.12)
Draw 25.83% (+0.04)
Tottenham Hotspur 27.78% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.61% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.89% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 52.11% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.17% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 73.83% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 12.1% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 87.89% (+0.07)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 77.55% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.44% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 44.02% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 55.98% (+0.15)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 66.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.45% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 29.92% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.08% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 46.38%
Draw 25.83%
Tottenham Hotspur 27.78%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 11.21% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 46.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 25.83%
Tottenham Hotspur
0-1 @ 8.22% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.73% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.5% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 27.78%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Oct 23, 2022 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Harry Kane 54' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 31'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 40'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Harry Kane 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 43' goal
  • Matt Doherty 48' goal
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 54' goal
  • Emerson 63' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 83' goal
  • goal Fabian Schar 39'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 46'
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 45'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 17, 2021 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Callum Wilson 2' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 34' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Clark 54' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 68' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 78' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 83' redcard
  • Eric Dier 89' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tanguy Ndombele 17'
  • goal Harry Kane 22'
  • goal Son Heung-min 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Emerson 64'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 4, 2021 2.05pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Joelinton 28' goal
  • Paul Dummett 65' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 85' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 85' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 30'
  • goal Harry Kane 34'
  • yellowcard Giovani Lo Celso 45'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 63'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 27, 2020 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Lucas Moura 25' goal
  • Harry Winks 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 44'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 53'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 82'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 90'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+7'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Jul 15, 2020 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Federico Fernandez 35' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 56' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 65' yellowcard
  • goal Son Heung-min 27'
  • yellowcard Toby Alderweireld 31'
  • goal Harry Kane 60'
  • yellowcard Harry Kane 74'
  • yellowcard Ben Davies 85'
  • goal Harry Kane 90'

Build-up

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