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Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 15, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Newcastle logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Newcastle

Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
Duran (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (22')

The Match

Match Report

Ollie Watkins continues his scintillating form with a brace and assist as Aston Villa aid their European hopes with a merited 3-0 win over Newcastle United at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
27.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 47.18% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)48.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)70.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.5% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)67.89% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.6% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)53.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 27.86%
    Newcastle United 47.17%
    Draw 24.96%
Aston VillaDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.86%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 10.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.17%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Newcastle

Aston Villa
22.4%
Draw
27.6%
Newcastle United
50.0%
214
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')

Watkins (45+5')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Newcastle
1-0
Aston Villa
Trippier (35')
Joelinton (39'), Burn (66'), Shelvey (82')

McGinn (42'), Luiz (89'), Bailey (90+5'), Ramsey (90+7')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Aston Villa
2-0
Newcastle
Ings (45+3'), El Ghazi (62' pen.)
Luiz (45+1'), Martinez (75'), Buendia (85')

Wilson (41'), Hayden (45'), Murphy (57'), Schar (84')
Mar 12, 2021 8pm
Newcastle
1-1
Aston Villa
Lascelles (90+4')
Krafth (52'), Lascelles (68')
Watkins (86')
McGinn (74'), Sanson (77'), Mings (78')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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