Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
41.8% ( -0.04) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 32.24% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.54% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( 0.05) | 50.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( 0.04) | 72.6% ( -0.04) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% ( 0) | 24.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% | 58.29% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( 0.06) | 29.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.45% ( 0.07) | 65.55% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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