Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 18, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 4Arsenal
Reaction
Mikel Arteta plays down Bukayo Saka injury concerns after Villa win
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta offers a positive injury update on Bukayo Saka after his side's 4-2 win over Aston Villa.
Feb 18, 18:03
Mikel Arteta hails "tremendous" Jorginho in Aston Villa win
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pays tribute to Jorginho's "tremendous" performance in their enthralling 4-2 win over Aston Villa.
Feb 18, 17:36
The Match
Match Report
Emiliano Martinez is the master of Aston Villa's downfall as Arsenal score two late goals to defeat Unai Emery's side 4-2 and rise back to the top of the Premier League.
Team News
Leandro Trossard is named in the starting lineup for Arsenal's Premier League clash with Aston Villa at Villa Park, but Thomas Partey misses out again.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Arsenal |
23.72% ( -0.13) | 23.94% ( 0.12) | 52.34% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
