Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 18, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
2 - 4
Arsenal

Watkins (5'), Coutinho (31')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Saka (16'), Zinchenko (61'), Martinez (90+3' og.), Martinelli (90+8')

Reaction

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Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pictured on February 18, 2023

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Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta pays tribute to Jorginho's "tremendous" performance in their enthralling 4-2 win over Aston Villa.

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The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
23.72% ( -0.13)	23.94% ( 0.12)	52.34% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.57% (

-0.61)

47.43% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.35% (

-0.57)

69.64% (

0.57)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.45)

34.3% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.48)

71% (

0.49)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

-0.22)

18.09% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.97% (

-0.38)

49.03% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 23.72%

Arsenal 52.33%

Draw 23.93%

Aston Villa	Draw	Arsenal
1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.72%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.33%