Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 18, 2023 12.30pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Ollie Watkins 5' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 31' goal
  • goal Bukayo Saka 16'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 61'
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 90'+3' (OG)
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 90'+8'

Aston Villa vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Man City 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2023 7.30pm
Arsenal 1 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 23.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 23.94% ▲ (+0.12)
Arsenal 52.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% ▼ (-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.57% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 47.43% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 30.35% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 69.64% ▲ (+0.58)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 65.7% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 0.5 34.3% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 29% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 1.5 71% ▲ (+0.49)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 81.9% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 18.09% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 50.97% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 1.5 49.03% ▲ (+0.39)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 23.72%
Draw 23.93%
Arsenal 52.33%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.07% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 23.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.93%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
0-4 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 52.33%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 5
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2022 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Gabriel Jesus 30' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 77' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 74'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
Mar 19, 2022 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • Jacob Ramsey 15' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 33' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 34' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 30'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 57'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 65'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Arsenal
Oct 22, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Thomas Partey 23' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 45'+6' goal
  • Emile Smith Rowe 56' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 2'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 27'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 32'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 60'
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 82'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 84'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Aston Villa
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Ollie Watkins 2' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 31' yellowcard
  • Marvelous Nakamba 35' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 52'
  • yellowcard Granit Xhaka 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Arsenal
Nov 8, 2020 7.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Aston Villa
  • goal Bukayo Saka 25' (OG)
  • goal Ollie Watkins 72'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 75'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Sep 5, 2020 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 3
FT
Aston Villa
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 1' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 2' goal
  • goal Douglas Luiz 1'
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 2'
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 3'

Form Data

Man City 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 4 Leicester
Southampton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Leeds
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Stevenage
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Wolves
Arsenal 1 - 3 Man City
Arsenal 1 - 1 Brentford
Everton 1 - 0 Arsenal
Man City 1 - 0 Arsenal
Arsenal 3 - 2 Man Utd
Spurs 0 - 2 Arsenal

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