Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.