Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.