Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
61.75% ( 0.2) | 21.31% ( -0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% ( 0.09) | 45.17% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% ( 0.08) | 67.52% ( -0.08) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( 0.09) | 14.09% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.29% ( 0.18) | 41.71% ( -0.18) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.97% ( -0.11) | 40.03% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.32% ( -0.1) | 76.68% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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