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Bruno Guimaraes
21'
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Jacob Murphy
28'
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Bruno Guimaraes
56'
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Miguel Almiron
82'
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Ethan Pinnock
90'
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Ivan Toney
54'
Newcastle United vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.52%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Newcastle United Goals
Brentford Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.77% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 46.51%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 25.59%
1-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.88%
