Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 49.51% | 24.58% ( | 25.91% |
| Both teams to score 54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( | 48.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% | 19.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( | 51.42% ( |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( | 69.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.14% 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.91% |