Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.