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EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Molineux Stadium
Gillingham

Wolves
2 - 0
Gillingham

Jimenez (77' pen.), Ait-Nouri (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cadiz 3-4 Wolves
Wednesday, December 14 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 2-1 Gillingham

Despite the gulf in class between these two teams, do not necessarily expect a one-sided contest. However, while Wolves may require some time to get up to speed under Lopetegui, we still expect the hosts to edge this contest by a narrow scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
59.17% (0.432 0.43) 23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 17.26% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.38% (-0.675 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (-0.499 -0.5)53.75% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (-0.422 -0.42)75.23% (0.42999999999999 0.43)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)17.9% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)48.7% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (-0.802 -0.8)44.73% (0.809 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (-0.651 -0.65)80.71% (0.65899999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 59.16%
    Gillingham 17.26%
    Draw 23.57%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.77% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 11.84% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.79% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.16%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.46% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.2% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 17.26%

How you voted: Wolves vs Gillingham

Wolverhampton Wanderers
74.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gillingham
14.0%
86
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Wolves
4-0
Gillingham
Griffiths (4', 68' pen.), Evans (24'), Sako (30')
Feb 19, 2005 3pm
Wolves
2-2
Gillingham
Miller (60'), Clarke (90')
Naylor (90')
Flynn (89'), Henderson (55')
Southall (54')
Oct 30, 2004 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Wolves
Jarvis (18')
Hessenthaler (13'), Sidibe (38')
Cox (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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