FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Replays

Dec 8, 2022 at 7.15pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
3 - 2
Dag & Red

Baggott (26'), Ehmer (77'), Adelakun (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Robinson (15'), Saunders (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
37.46% ( 0.39)	25.59% ( -0.31)	36.95% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66% (

1.39)

48.34% (

-1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

1.26)

70.48% (

-1.25)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.86)

25.24% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

1.17)

59.99% (

-1.17)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

0.6)

25.53% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

0.81)

60.38% (

-0.81)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 37.46%

Dagenham & Redbridge 36.95%

Draw 25.59%

Gillingham	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.46%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.95%